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Growth and functional trajectories

What is the impact on ageing of different trajectories of body size and function from birth onwards?


Research programme: Growth and functional trajectories in relation to ageing outcomes

Programme Leader: Dr Rebecca Hardy

FALCon postdoctoral scientist: Dr Andrew Wills

PhD student: Rebecca Landy

External collaborators:

  • Professor Scott Hofer, Oregon University
  • Dr Bianca De Stavola, London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine
  • Dr Fiona Matthews, MRC Biostatistics Unit
  • Professor Debbie Lawlor, MRC CAiTE Centre, University of Bristol
  • Professor Avan Aihie Sayer, MRC Epidemiology Resource Centre
  • Ms Michaela Benzeval, MRC Social and Public Health Sciences Unit

Birth weight and childhood growth have been shown in the NSHD and other studies to be related to later morbidity and mortality. For example, low birth weight is associated with higher risk of cardiovascular disease and higher blood pressure, while high birth weight is associated with a higher risk of breast cancer among women. Obesity at all ages is major public health problem, with obesity being one of the main risk factors for cardiovascular disease and diabetes.

The overall aim of this research programme is to investigate the impact of childhood growth, and trajectories of adult body size and physical function (such as blood pressure) on ageing, and to investigate the life course factors that influence the shape of the trajectories themselves. The programme also develops life course methodology for analysis of trajectories both as outcome and explanatory variables which can then be applied to many other life course hypotheses.  


Objectives

  • To evaluate how birth weight, growth, age at puberty and the adult BMI trajectory are associated with new clinical measures of cardiovascular and musculoskeletal function and biomarkers of ageing
  • To assess whether adult lifestyle, particularly physical activity, and socioeconomic status modify the associations of early growth on these outcomes
  • To explore gender differences in CVD risk factor trajectories and behaviours and whether these explain CVD event differences
  • To investigate the genetics of early growth and later obesity and environmental influences on BMI throughout life
  • To carry out cross-cohort comparisons of growth and adult BMI trajectories and of the impact of these trajectories on later health, allowing us to assess the impact of different patterns of growth on ageing. This will involve the development of meta-analysis methods for combining findings across cohorts
  • To develop statistical models (such as structural equation models, latent growth curve and latent class models) to link lifetime trajectories, such as growth, BMI and blood pressure, to ageing outcomes and trajectories

Sample finding

Child-to-adult BMI and height trajectories: a comparison of the 1946 and 1958 British birth cohorts

We compared height, weight and body mass index (BMI) from childhood to midlife in the 1946 and 1958 British birth cohorts in order to establish how trajectories have changed across generations.(1) There was no difference in mean birth weight between the two cohorts.

The 1958 cohort achieved adult height at a younger age than the 1946 cohort and they were taller in adulthood by an average of 10cm. BMI in childhood was similar in the two cohorts, but the 1958 cohort had a faster rate of BMI gain in adulthood. By mid-adulthood the 1958 cohort had, on average, a greater BMI, larger waist and hip circumferences, and had a higher percentage of obese individuals.

The differences in the impact of the obesity epidemic, which was experienced at a younger age in the 1958 cohort, can be observed in these two national birth cohorts who were born only 12 years apart

(1) Li L, Hardy R, Kuh D, Lo Conte R, Power C. Child-to-adult BMI and height trajectories: a comparison of two British birth cohorts. American Journal of Epidemiology 2008;168;1008-1015
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